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Max Est. MMI

81 km SSW of Alberto Oviedo Mota, B.C., MX

Magnitude3.8
Depth2.1 km
Time 2026-05-03T12:10:49.610000Z UTC: 2026-05-03T12:10:49.610000Z
USGS ID ci41240383
ShakeMap View USGS ↗

Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

3 sites
Location MMI Description
San Vicente
MX
Not felt(I)
Fraccionamiento del Valle
MX
Not felt(I)
Ejido Doctor Alberto Oviedo Mota (El Indiviso)
MX
Not felt(I)

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

3 stations
Station MMI Description
Valle de la Trinidad (BC.VTX) Not felt(I)
Rancho Alamar- (BC.ALAMX) Weak(II)
Ojos Negros (BC.OJONX) Not felt(I)

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
San Vicente
MX
760 317
Fraccionamiento del Valle
MX
760 271
Ejido Doctor Alberto Oviedo Mota (El Indiviso)
MX
760 185

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +0.05 0.18 0.19
BSSA14 +0.05 0.18 0.19
CY14 +0.05 0.18 0.19
CB14 +0.05 0.18 0.19
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
Rancho Alamar- (BC.ALAMX) 0.0036 Not felt(I) 0.050 Not felt(I)
Campo Elementary School (CI.CPO) 0.0026 Not felt(I) 0.043 Not felt(I)
Riito (BC.RITX) 0.0019 Not felt(I) 0.030 Not felt(I)
Valle de la Trinidad (BC.VTX) 0.0019 Not felt(I) 0.022 Not felt(I)
Fire Station (NP.5491) 0.0017 Not felt(I) 0.049 Not felt(I)
Ojos Negros (BC.OJONX) 0.0015 Not felt(I) 0.019 Not felt(I)
Campo (CE.02496) 0.0014 Not felt(I) 0.020 Not felt(I)
Dulzura (CI.DZA) 0.0012 Not felt(I) 0.019 Not felt(I)
UABC Campus Mexicali (BC.UABX) 0.0012 Not felt(I) 0.026 Not felt(I)
CERRO PRIETO (BC.CPX) 0.0012 Not felt(I) 0.030 Not felt(I)
El Doctor (BC.DOCTX) 0.0011 Not felt(I) 0.026 Not felt(I)
Ejido Aguascalientes (BC.AGSX) 0.0011 Not felt(I) 0.020 Not felt(I)
Guadalupe Victoria (BC.GUVIX) 0.0010 Not felt(I) 0.010 Not felt(I)
Rancho Hardy (BC.RHX) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.012 Not felt(I)
El Centro Array 11, McCabe School (NP.5058) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.027 Not felt(I)
Cuyamaca Peak (CI.CYP) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.013 Not felt(I)
Yuha Desert (CI.YUH2) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.009 Not felt(I)
Lyon's Peak (CI.LYP) 0.0007 Not felt(I) 0.007 Not felt(I)
El Monte County Park (CI.EML) 0.0006 Not felt(I) 0.008 Not felt(I)
Barrett (CI.BAR) 0.0006 Not felt(I) 0.008 Not felt(I)
Rumorosa (BC.RMX) 0.0006 Not felt(I) 0.009 Not felt(I)
El Centro (CI.ELO) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.013 Not felt(I)
Dos Picos County Park (CI.DPP) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.010 Not felt(I)
Wister Waterfowl (CI.WWF) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.010 Not felt(I)
Julian Eagle Mine (CI.JEM) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.007 Not felt(I)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.