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Max Est. MMI

15 km NNE of Alder Springs, CA

Magnitude3.8
Depth13.4 km
Time 2026-07-03T01:39:10.270000Z UTC: 2026-07-03T01:39:10.270000Z
USGS ID nc75388321
ShakeMap View USGS ↗

Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

3 sites
Location MMI Description
Rancho Tehama Reserve
CA
Not felt(I)
Orland
CA
Weak(II)
Corning
CA
Not felt(I)

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

3 stations
Station MMI Description
Round Mountain (NC.GROB) Weak(II)
Black Butte Lake (NC.GBB) Weak(II)
Etsel Ridge (BK.ETSL) Not felt(I)

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
Rancho Tehama Reserve
CA
760 352
Orland
CA
760 228
Corning
CA
760 228

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +0.05 0.21 0.21
BSSA14 +0.04 0.20 0.21
CY14 +0.04 0.20 0.20
CB14 +0.04 0.20 0.20
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
Hull Mountain (BK.HULL) 0.0031 Not felt(I) 0.129 Weak(II)
Pettyjohn Place, Tehama County, CA (BK.PETY) 0.0019 Not felt(I) 0.042 Not felt(I)
Round Mountain (NC.GROB) 0.0017 Not felt(I) 0.075 Weak(II)
Black Butte Lake (NC.GBB) 0.0011 Not felt(I) 0.066 Weak(II)
Etsel Ridge (BK.ETSL) 0.0010 Not felt(I) 0.035 Not felt(I)
Jewett Creek (BK.JEWT) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.067 Weak(II)
Bevans Ridge (BK.BEVN) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.039 Not felt(I)
Red Bank (NC.LRB) 0.0007 Not felt(I) 0.031 Not felt(I)
Thermalito Afterbay Dam (WR.THER) 0.0006 Not felt(I) 0.009 Not felt(I)
Round Valley Indian Tribe, Mendocino County, CA (BK.RVIT) 0.0006 Not felt(I) 0.034 Not felt(I)
Big Hunter Mountain, Trinity County (BK.HUNT) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.014 Not felt(I)
Tule Creek, Hayfork, CA (BK.HAYF) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.027 Not felt(I)
Clark Valley (BK.GCKB) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.022 Not felt(I)
Black Lassic (BK.BLAS) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.018 Not felt(I)
Abbey of New Clairvaux, Vina, CA (BK.AONC) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.015 Not felt(I)
Long Ridge (NC.KLR) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.013 Not felt(I)
Big Mountain (BK.BIGM) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.012 Not felt(I)
FD Fire Training Center (NP.1861) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.005 Not felt(I)
Usal Creek (BK.USAL) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.013 Not felt(I)
Garberville CALFire station (NP.1591) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.018 Not felt(I)
Hales Grove, Mendocino, CA (BK.HALS) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.013 Not felt(I)
Barra Winery, Redwood Valley, CA (BK.BARR) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.013 Not felt(I)
Pickett Peak (NC.KPPB) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.016 Not felt(I)
Bayliss; Glenn County (BK.BAYL) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.022 Not felt(I)
Healdsburg Fire Station (NP.1744) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.003 Not felt(I)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.