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II

Max Est. MMI

M3.7 earthquake · shaking intensity by town 20 km N of Indio, CA

Magnitude3.7
Depth4.4 km
Time 2026-01-20T08:20:02.020000Z UTC: 2026-01-20T08:20:02.020000Z
USGS ID ci41164039
ShakeMap View USGS ↗

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
Sky Valley
CA
760 352
Indio
CA
760 228
Bermuda Dunes
CA
760 294

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +0.02 0.26 0.26
BSSA14 +0.00 0.26 0.26
CY14 +0.04 0.25 0.26
CB14 +0.02 0.26 0.26
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
Mirage (CI.MGE) 0.0076 Weak(III) 0.181 Weak(II)
Indio Hill (CI.IDO) 0.0057 Weak(II) 0.153 Weak(II)
Garner Valley (SB.GVDA) 0.0027 Weak(II) 0.072 Weak(II)
Polly Butte 2 (CI.POB2) 0.0027 Weak(II) 0.062 Weak(II)
Cactus City (CI.CTC) 0.0025 Weak(II) 0.120 Weak(II)
Indio Quarry (CI.IDQ) 0.0024 Weak(II) 0.088 Weak(II)
Devers (CI.DEV) 0.0020 Weak(II) 0.068 Weak(II)
Black Rock Canyon Campground 2 (CI.BLA2) 0.0019 Weak(II) 0.048 Not felt(I)
Palm Springs Desert Museum (CI.PSD) 0.0018 Weak(II) 0.035 Not felt(I)
Keenwild Fire Station, Mountain Center, CA, USA (AZ.KNW) 0.0017 Weak(II) 0.021 Not felt(I)
Dunn Ranch (CI.DNR) 0.0016 Weak(II) 0.052 Not felt(I)
Sleepy Hollow (CI.SLH) 0.0016 Weak(II) 0.050 Not felt(I)
MCC 29palms (CI.MCT) 0.0015 Weak(II) 0.044 Not felt(I)
Mission Creek (CI.MSC) 0.0014 Weak(II) 0.046 Not felt(I)
Skyland Ranch (CI.SLR) 0.0014 Weak(II) 0.040 Not felt(I)
Hemet 2 (CI.HMT2) 0.0013 Weak(II) 0.027 Not felt(I)
Bachelor Mountain (CI.BAC) 0.0012 Not felt(I) 0.039 Not felt(I)
Red Mountain, Riverside Co, CA, USA (AZ.RDM) 0.0010 Not felt(I) 0.022 Not felt(I)
North Shore Salton Sea 2 (CI.NSS2) 0.0010 Not felt(I) 0.028 Not felt(I)
Palm Desert (CI.PMD) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.014 Not felt(I)
Goat Mountain Astronomical Research Station (CI.GMA) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.028 Not felt(I)
Mt. San Jacinto Campus (CI.MSJ) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.022 Not felt(I)
San Luis Rio Colorado (BC.SLRCX) 0.0009 Not felt(I) — —
Borrego Valley Downhole Array (SB.BVDA) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.030 Not felt(I)
Pala (CI.PALA) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.030 Not felt(I)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.

Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

3 sites
Location MMI Description
Sky Valley
CA
Weak(II)
Indio
CA
Weak(II)
Bermuda Dunes
CA
Weak(II)

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

3 stations
Station MMI Description
Indio Hill (CI.IDO) Weak(II)
Indio Quarry (CI.IDQ) Weak(II)
Mirage (CI.MGE) Weak(II)