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III

Max Est. MMI

9 km WSW of South Lake Tahoe, CA

Magnitude3.3
Depth10.9 km
Time 2026-10-02T10:00:11.230000Z UTC: 2026-10-02T10:00:11.230000Z
USGS ID nc75442791
ShakeMap View USGS ↗

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
South Lake Tahoe
CA
760 305
Kingsbury
NV
760 662
Tahoma
CA
760 394

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +0.02 0.10 0.10
BSSA14 +0.02 0.10 0.10
CY14 +0.02 0.10 0.10
CB14 +0.02 0.10 0.10
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
Weber Reservoir, near Camino (BK.WEBR) 0.0028 Not felt(I) 0.044 Not felt(I)
Blue Mountain (BK.BLUE) 0.0016 Not felt(I) 0.026 Not felt(I)
Weller Cave, Western Cave Conservancy, Sutter Creek, CA (BK.WELL) 0.0014 Not felt(I) 0.030 Not felt(I)
Signal Peak, Yuba Pass, CA (BK.YUBA) 0.0012 Not felt(I) 0.013 Not felt(I)
Dodge Ridge (BK.DRDG) 0.0007 Not felt(I) 0.009 Not felt(I)
Donner Summit, California (NN.DON) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.006 Not felt(I)
Redfield Campus, S. Reno, Nevada (NN.REDF) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.011 Not felt(I)
Copperopolis #3 (NC.MCUC) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.006 Not felt(I)
Montezuma Slough (WR.MOFF) 0.0003 Not felt(I) — —
Farmington Tower (NC.MFA) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.009 Not felt(I)
Antelope Valley (NC.MAV) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.008 Not felt(I)
Lincoln Peak (NC.MLI) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.007 Not felt(I)
Bloomer Hill #3 (NC.OBHB) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.008 Not felt(I)
Holt Union Elementary School (WR.HLT) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.008 Not felt(I)
Turlock Lake (NC.MTL) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.007 Not felt(I)
Sutter Buttes, CA, USA (BK.SUTB) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.006 Not felt(I)
Sherman Island (NP.SIA) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.010 Not felt(I)
Staten Island Levee Array (WR.STNI) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.010 Not felt(I)
Clifton Court Forebay South (WR.CLFS) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.012 Not felt(I)
New Hogan Dam (NC.MNHB) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.007 Not felt(I)
Miami Mountain, Sierra National Forest, Mariposa County (BK.MMI) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.004 Not felt(I)
Twitchell Island Reclamation, Rio Vista, CA (BK.TWIT) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.015 Not felt(I)
Forest Hills Divide #2 (NC.AFD) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.006 Not felt(I)
Lake Thomas A Edison (NC.MED) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.005 Not felt(I)
Sierra Foothills REC, Browns Valley, CA (BK.SFRE) 0.0002 Not felt(I) 0.004 Not felt(I)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.

Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

3 sites
Location MMI Description
South Lake Tahoe
CA
Weak(III)
Kingsbury
NV
Weak(II)
Tahoma
CA
Weak(II)

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

3 stations
Station MMI Description
Donner Summit, California (NN.DON) Not felt(I)
Weber Reservoir, near Camino (BK.WEBR) Weak(II)
Antelope Valley (NC.MAV) Not felt(I)