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Max Est. MMI

M3.7 earthquake · shaking intensity by town 51 km ENE of San Vicente, Mexico

Magnitude3.7
Depth1.8 km
Time 2026-01-11T23:54:21.451000Z UTC: 2026-01-11T23:54:21.451000Z
USGS ID us7000rp3d
ShakeMap View USGS ↗

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
San Vicente
MX
760 317
Fraccionamiento del Valle
MX
760 271
Licenciado Gustavo Díaz Ordaz
MX
760 316

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +0.02 0.15 0.16
BSSA14 +0.02 0.15 0.15
CY14 +0.03 0.15 0.15
CB14 +0.02 0.15 0.15
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
San Vicente relocate (BC.SV2X) 0.0025 Weak(II) 0.021 Not felt(I)
Rancho Alamar- (BC.ALAMX) 0.0014 Weak(II) 0.033 Not felt(I)
El Chinero (BC.CHX) 0.0010 Not felt(I) 0.027 Not felt(I)
CERRO PRIETO (BC.CPX) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.036 Not felt(I)
Riito (BC.RITX) 0.0009 Not felt(I) 0.016 Not felt(I)
CA:Pine Valley;FS (NP.5491) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.030 Not felt(I)
Ejido Tlaxcala (BC.TL2X) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.033 Not felt(I)
San Luis Rio Colorado (BC.SLRCX) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.011 Not felt(I)
Campo Elementary School (CI.CPO) 0.0008 Not felt(I) 0.011 Not felt(I)
El Doctor (BC.DOCTX) 0.0007 Not felt(I) 0.026 Not felt(I)
Ojos Negros (BC.OJONX) 0.0006 Not felt(I) 0.011 Not felt(I)
San Felipe (BC.SFX) 0.0006 Not felt(I) 0.016 Not felt(I)
Dulzura (CI.DZA) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.008 Not felt(I)
UABC Campus Mexicali (BC.UABX) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.027 Not felt(I)
Tecate (BC.TKX) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.012 Not felt(I)
Ocotillo Community Park (CI.OCP) 0.0005 Not felt(I) 0.015 Not felt(I)
Guadalupe Victoria (BC.GUVIX) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.020 Not felt(I)
Ejido Aguascalientes (BC.AGSX) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.016 Not felt(I)
Ivy Glen (CI.IVY) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.005 Not felt(I)
Rancho Hardy (BC.RHX) 0.0004 Not felt(I) 0.008 Not felt(I)
Yuha Desert (CI.YUH2) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.007 Not felt(I)
Elsinore (CI.ESI2) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.004 Not felt(I)
El Monte County Park (CI.EML) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.004 Not felt(I)
Signal Mtn (CI.SGL) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.015 Not felt(I)
Rumorosa (BC.RMX) 0.0003 Not felt(I) 0.009 Not felt(I)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.

Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

3 sites
Location MMI Description
San Vicente
MX
Not felt(I)
Fraccionamiento del Valle
MX
Weak(II)
Licenciado Gustavo Díaz Ordaz
MX
Not felt(I)

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

3 stations
Station MMI Description
San Vicente relocate (BC.SV2X) Not felt(I)
Ojos Negros (BC.OJONX) Not felt(I)
Rancho Alamar- (BC.ALAMX) Not felt(I)