Max Est. MMI
M3.9 earthquake · shaking intensity by town 8 km NW of Delta, B.C., MX
Engineering Ground Motion Parameters
GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above.
ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or
for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap
MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal
that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary.
Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).
Show ▼
Engineering Ground Motion Parameters
GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).
Est. Vs30 Values
Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.
| Location | Ref. (760 m/s) | Est. Vs30 (m/s) |
|---|---|---|
|
Michoacán de Ocampo
MX |
760 | 187 |
|
Nuevo León
MX |
760 | 198 |
|
Delta
MX |
760 | 190 |
|
Ejido Vicente Guerrero
MX |
760 | 191 |
|
Ejido Sonora
MX |
760 | 190 |
|
Ejido Saltillo
MX |
760 | 205 |
MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)
All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.
MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30
GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.
GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI
Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.
GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations
Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.
GMPE Performance — Station Observations
Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.
| GMPE | Bias | Sigma | RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASK14 | +0.02 | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| BSSA14 | +0.02 | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| CY14 | +0.06 | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| CB14 | +0.05 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations
Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.
| Station | PGA (g) | MMI (PGA) | PGV (cm/s) | MMI (PGV) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CERRO PRIETO (BC.CPX) | 0.2203 | Very Strong(VII) | 10.569 | Strong(VI) |
| Desert Research Extended Center (CI.DRE) | 0.0020 | Weak(II) | 0.084 | Weak(II) |
| East Mesa (CI.EMS) | 0.0015 | Weak(II) | 0.074 | Weak(II) |
| Coachella (CI.COA) | 0.0012 | Not felt(I) | 0.120 | Weak(II) |
| San Luis Rio Colorado (BC.SLRCX) | 0.0010 | Not felt(I) | 0.264 | Weak(II) |
| Imperial (CI.IMP) | 0.0008 | Not felt(I) | 0.045 | Not felt(I) |
| Cook Ranch 2 (CI.COK2) | 0.0008 | Not felt(I) | 0.036 | Not felt(I) |
| Signal Mtn (CI.SGL) | 0.0006 | Not felt(I) | 0.027 | Not felt(I) |
| Adelanto Receiving (CI.ADO) | 0.0004 | Not felt(I) | 0.003 | Not felt(I) |
| Glamis (CI.GLA) | 0.0003 | Not felt(I) | 0.013 | Not felt(I) |
| Rumorosa (BC.RMX) | 0.0003 | Not felt(I) | 0.005 | Not felt(I) |
| Ruthven (CI.RUN) | 0.0003 | Not felt(I) | 0.045 | Not felt(I) |
| Otay Lakes Park (CI.OLP) | 0.0003 | Not felt(I) | 0.008 | Not felt(I) |
| Elmore's Ranch (CI.ERR) | 0.0002 | Not felt(I) | 0.017 | Not felt(I) |
| Carrizo (CI.CRR) | 0.0002 | Not felt(I) | 0.013 | Not felt(I) |
| Mira Loma (CI.MLS) | 0.0002 | Not felt(I) | 0.002 | Not felt(I) |
| San Felipe (BC.SFX) | 0.0002 | Not felt(I) | 0.006 | Not felt(I) |
| Rock Hill (CI.RXH) | 0.0002 | Not felt(I) | 0.014 | Not felt(I) |
| Barrett (CI.BAR) | 0.0001 | Not felt(I) | 0.005 | Not felt(I) |
| CERRO BOLA MEX (BC.CBX) | 0.0001 | Not felt(I) | 0.010 | Not felt(I) |
| Bombay Beach (CI.BOM) | 0.0001 | Not felt(I) | 0.013 | Not felt(I) |
| Tijuana (BC.TJX) | 0.0001 | Not felt(I) | 0.009 | Not felt(I) |
| Sam W. Stewart (CI.SWS) | 0.0001 | Not felt(I) | 0.008 | Not felt(I) |
| Calectric (CI.CLT) | 0.0001 | Not felt(I) | 0.002 | Not felt(I) |
| Devers (CI.DEV) | 0.0001 | Not felt(I) | 0.002 | Not felt(I) |
Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI
6 sites| Location | MMI Description |
|---|---|
|
Michoacán de Ocampo
MX |
Light(IV) |
|
Nuevo León
MX |
Light(IV) |
|
Delta
MX |
Light(IV) |
|
Ejido Vicente Guerrero
MX |
Light(IV) |
|
Ejido Sonora
MX |
Light(IV) |
|
Ejido Saltillo
MX |
Light(IV) |
Seismic Station Observed MMI
MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.
| Station | MMI Description |
|---|---|
| CERRO PRIETO (BC.CPX) | Strong(VI) |
| East Mesa (CI.EMS) | Weak(II) |
| Desert Research Extended Center (CI.DRE) | Weak(II) |