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III

Max Est. MMI

18 km WSW of Johannesburg, CA

Magnitude4.1
Depth7.0 km
Time 2026-07-13T16:40:55.190000Z UTC: 2026-07-13T16:40:55.190000Z
USGS ID ci41292687
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Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

3 sites
Location MMI Description
California City
CA
Weak(III)
North Edwards
CA
Weak(III)
China Lake Acres
CA
Weak(II)

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

3 stations
Station MMI Description
Desert Tortoise Park (CI.DTP) Weak(III)
Red Rock Canyon State Park (CI.RRC) Weak(III)
Laurel Mtn (CI.LRL) Weak(III)

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
California City
CA
760 294
North Edwards
CA
760 228
China Lake Acres
CA
760 294

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +0.56 0.56 0.79
BSSA14 +0.56 0.56 0.79
CY14 +0.56 0.56 0.79
CB14 +0.56 0.57 0.80
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
Laurel Mtn (CI.LRL) 0.0395 Light(IV) 0.605 Weak(III)
Desert Tortoise Park (CI.DTP) 0.0338 Light(IV) 0.970 Light(IV)
California City Airport (CI.CCA) 0.0267 Weak(III) 0.993 Light(IV)
Red Rock Canyon State Park (CI.RRC) 0.0173 Weak(III) 0.611 Weak(III)
Fish Rocks (CI.FSR) 0.0076 Not felt(I) 0.124 Weak(II)
Gold Creek Center (CI.GCC) 0.0076 Not felt(I) 0.203 Weak(II)
Neenach (CI.NEN) 0.0068 Not felt(I) 0.304 Weak(III)
Leduc Ranch (CI.LDR) 0.0065 Not felt(I) 0.177 Weak(II)
Shuttle (CI.SHU) 0.0054 Not felt(I) 0.114 Weak(II)
Rodman Mountain (CI.RMM) 0.0051 Not felt(I) 0.201 Weak(II)
Edwards 2 (CI.EDW2) 0.0050 Not felt(I) 0.090 Weak(II)
Wilsona 2 (CI.WLS2) 0.0049 Not felt(I) 0.120 Weak(II)
Tropico Hills (CI.TPO) 0.0047 Not felt(I) 0.102 Weak(II)
Burnt Peak (CI.BTP) 0.0047 Not felt(I) 0.179 Weak(II)
Adelanto Receiving (CI.ADO) 0.0046 Not felt(I) 0.132 Weak(II)
Nine Mile Canyon (CI.WNM) 0.0044 Not felt(I) 0.075 Weak(II)
Haystack Butte (CI.HYS) 0.0043 Not felt(I) 0.102 Weak(II)
Hungry Valley SVR State Park (CI.HRV) 0.0042 Not felt(I) 0.119 Weak(II)
Leona Valley (CI.LEO) 0.0040 Not felt(I) 0.073 Weak(II)
Soledad Canyon Fire Camp 11, Angeles National Forest (CI.SOL2) 0.0039 Not felt(I) 0.100 Weak(II)
Mars (CI.MRS) 0.0038 Not felt(I) 0.286 Weak(III)
Piute (CI.PUT) 0.0034 Not felt(I) 0.074 Weak(II)
Lucerne Valley 2 (CI.LUC2) 0.0034 Not felt(I) 0.145 Weak(II)
Leuhmann Ridge Extension (CI.LMR2) 0.0033 Not felt(I) 0.087 Weak(II)
Ontario (CE.23417) 0.0029 Not felt(I) 0.036 Not felt(I)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.