Max Est. MMI
15km WSW of Ferndale, CA
Shaking Animations
Simulated bowling pin shaking at each city’s intensity level. Videos appear as they finish rendering. The ground motion behind each video is under Ground Motion Records.
| Location | Type | Intensity at site | Animation | Ground motion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Town | Station · Tabletop Observed | Very Strong(VII) station record | Download Produced 2026-10-04T00:12:17.107442Z |
Data files
|
| Decay: Sacramento direction | Decay · Tabletop Simulated | Very Strong(VII) USGS ShakeMap, 5 km site | Download Produced 2026-10-03T01:26:09.217733Z |
Data files
|
| Ferndale | City · Tabletop Simulated | Very Strong(VII) USGS ShakeMap | Download Produced 2026-10-03T04:44:41.631716Z |
Data files
|
Ground Motion Records
The shaking each animation was drawn from: acceleration, velocity and displacement in three directions. The shaded band marks the part the animation shows.
City · Simulated — Ferndale, CA
Used by the Tabletop videoA physics-based simulation of this earthquake (SCEC Broadband Platform) at this site: one realization, not an average.
| Site | PGA (g) | PGV (cm/s) | PGD (cm) | Data files |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferndale, CA | 0.2603 | 53.22 | 12.86 | Acceleration · Velocity · Displacement |
Peak values are horizontal (the larger of north–south and east–west) over the whole record. Time zero: rupture origin time (simulation time 0).
Station · Observed — NC.KCT (Cape Town)
Used by the Tabletop videoRecorded by a seismic station during this earthquake, with the instrument response removed.
| Site | PGA (g) | PGV (cm/s) | PGD (cm) | Data files |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC.KCT (Cape Town) | 0.1194 | 29.98 | 5.70 | Acceleration · Velocity · Displacement |
Peak values are horizontal (the larger of north–south and east–west) over the whole record. Time zero: earthquake origin time.
Decay · Simulated — 5 km from the epicenter, 50 km from the epicenter, 100 km from the epicenter
Used by the Tabletop videoA physics-based simulation of this earthquake (SCEC Broadband Platform) at this site: one realization, not an average.
| Site | PGA (g) | PGV (cm/s) | PGD (cm) | Data files |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 km from the epicenter | 0.2796 | 19.02 | 4.47 | Acceleration · Velocity · Displacement |
| 50 km from the epicenter | 0.0596 | 4.51 | 1.98 | Acceleration · Velocity · Displacement |
| 100 km from the epicenter | 0.0243 | 2.26 | 0.78 | Acceleration · Velocity · Displacement |
Peak values are horizontal (the larger of north–south and east–west) over the whole record. Time zero: rupture origin time (simulation time 0).
About these files
Each file is plain text in the SCEC Broadband Platform layout. Lines starting with # are a header describing the earthquake, the site, where the motion came from, how it was processed, its peak values, and which part the animation shows. Then come four columns: time (s), north–south, east–west, and up–down. North–south comes before east–west.
Units: acceleration in cm/s², velocity in cm/s, displacement in cm. The zip also contains the plots and a README.
To read a file in Python: t, ns, ew, ud = numpy.loadtxt("file.acc.bbp", comments="#", unpack=True). A spreadsheet can open it as whitespace-delimited text.
These records explain what the animations show. A single simulation, one station’s record, or a synthetic scaled to one value is not an engineering estimate of ground motion at a site.
Engineering Ground Motion Parameters
GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above.
ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or
for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap
MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal
that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary.
Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).
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Engineering Ground Motion Parameters
GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).
Est. Vs30 Values
Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.
| Location | Ref. (760 m/s) | Est. Vs30 (m/s) |
|---|---|---|
|
Rio Dell
CA |
760 | 468 |
|
Fortuna
CA |
760 | 418 |
|
Hydesville
CA |
760 | 468 |
|
Ferndale
CA |
760 | 273 |
|
Humboldt Hill
CA |
760 | 370 |
|
Pine Hills
CA |
760 | 369 |
|
Myrtletown
CA |
760 | 354 |
|
Cutten
CA |
760 | 359 |
|
Bayside
CA |
760 | 357 |
|
Eureka
CA |
760 | 280 |
|
Bayview
CA |
760 | 350 |
|
Blue Lake
CA |
760 | 352 |
|
Arcata
CA |
760 | 351 |
|
McKinleyville
CA |
760 | 373 |
|
Redway
CA |
760 | 352 |
|
Willow Creek
CA |
760 | 733 |
|
Westhaven-Moonstone
CA |
760 | 411 |
|
Hayfork
CA |
760 | 351 |
MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)
All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.
MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30
GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.
GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI
Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.
GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations
Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.
GMPE Performance — Station Observations
Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.
| GMPE | Bias | Sigma | RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASK14 | +1.34 | 0.82 | 1.57 |
| BSSA14 | +1.50 | 0.75 | 1.68 |
| CY14 | +1.28 | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| CB14 | +1.26 | 0.82 | 1.50 |
Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations
Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.
| Station | PGA (g) | MMI (PGA) | PGV (cm/s) | MMI (PGV) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Dell (CE.89462) | 1.4387 | Very Strong(VII) | 63.425 | Extreme(X) |
| Fortuna (CE.89255) | 0.8010 | Strong(VI) | 34.755 | Violent(IX) |
| College of the Redwoods (NP.1582) | 0.4536 | Strong(VI) | 34.115 | Violent(IX) |
| Fortuna (CE.89486) | 0.3938 | Strong(VI) | 28.695 | Severe(VIII) |
| Loleta Fire Station (NP.1586) | 0.3000 | Moderate(V) | 25.784 | Severe(VIII) |
| Eureka (CE.89641) | 0.2959 | Moderate(V) | 21.361 | Severe(VIII) |
| South Bay School (NP.1581) | 0.2748 | Moderate(V) | 32.524 | Violent(IX) |
| Fire Station (NP.1023) | 0.2561 | Moderate(V) | 22.278 | Severe(VIII) |
| Bunker Hill, NOAA Radar (NP.1584B) | 0.2212 | Moderate(V) | 10.324 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Paradise Ridge (BK.PRDS) | 0.1806 | Moderate(V) | 9.706 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Kneeland/Ashfield Ridge (BK.KNEE) | 0.1636 | Moderate(V) | 39.187 | Violent(IX) |
| Pringle Ridge (NC.KPR) | 0.1402 | Moderate(V) | 15.552 | Severe(VIII) |
| Burgh Ranch (NC.KBU) | 0.1382 | Moderate(V) | 18.543 | Severe(VIII) |
| Bald Jesse, Humboldt County, CA (BK.BJES) | 0.1254 | Moderate(V) | 21.984 | Severe(VIII) |
| Horse Mountain (NC.KHMB) | 0.1253 | Moderate(V) | 15.092 | Severe(VIII) |
| Cape Town (NC.KCT) | 0.1239 | Moderate(V) | 30.028 | Violent(IX) |
| Mount Pierce (NC.KMPB) | 0.1237 | Moderate(V) | 11.679 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Punta Gorda, Petrolia, CA (BK.PETL) | 0.1236 | Moderate(V) | 8.521 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Cooskie Peak (NC.KCO) | 0.1201 | Moderate(V) | 15.272 | Severe(VIII) |
| Tule Creek, Hayfork, CA (BK.HAYF) | 0.1037 | Moderate(V) | 8.198 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Garberville CALFire station (NP.1591) | 0.0950 | Moderate(V) | 9.032 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Cold Springs (NC.KCSB) | 0.0868 | Moderate(V) | 12.725 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Rainbow Ridge, Humboldt, CA (BK.RBOW) | 0.0795 | Moderate(V) | 10.511 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Briceland Vineyard, Redway, CA (BK.BRIC) | 0.0752 | Moderate(V) | 7.824 | Very Strong(VII) |
| Mail Ridge (NC.KMR) | 0.0721 | Moderate(V) | 9.469 | Very Strong(VII) |
Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI
18 sites| Location | MMI Description |
|---|---|
|
Rio Dell
CA |
Very Strong(VII) |
|
Fortuna
CA |
Very Strong(VII) |
|
Hydesville
CA |
Very Strong(VII) |
|
Ferndale
CA |
Very Strong(VII) |
|
Humboldt Hill
CA |
Very Strong(VII) |
|
Pine Hills
CA |
Very Strong(VII) |
|
Myrtletown
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
Cutten
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
Bayside
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
Eureka
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
Bayview
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
Blue Lake
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
Arcata
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
McKinleyville
CA |
Strong(VI) |
|
Redway
CA |
Light(IV) |
|
Willow Creek
CA |
Light(IV) |
|
Westhaven-Moonstone
CA |
Light(IV) |
|
Hayfork
CA |
Light(IV) |
Seismic Station Observed MMI
MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.