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VII

Max Est. MMI

15km WSW of Ferndale, CA

Magnitude6.4
Depth17.9 km
Time 2022-12-20T10:34:24.770000Z UTC: 2022-12-20T10:34:24.770000Z
USGS ID nc73821036
ShakeMap View USGS ↗

Ground Shaking Intensities — Interpolated ShakeMap MMI

18 sites
Location MMI Description
Hydesville
CA
Very Strong(VII)
Rio Dell
CA
Very Strong(VII)
Fortuna
CA
Strong(VI)
Ferndale
CA
Strong(VI)
Humboldt Hill
CA
Strong(VI)
Bayview
CA
Strong(VI)
Cutten
CA
Strong(VI)
Myrtletown
CA
Strong(VI)
Pine Hills
CA
Strong(VI)
Bayside
CA
Moderate(V)
Eureka
CA
Moderate(V)
Arcata
CA
Moderate(V)
Blue Lake
CA
Moderate(V)
Redway
CA
Moderate(V)
McKinleyville
CA
Moderate(V)
Westhaven-Moonstone
CA
Light(IV)
Hayfork
CA
Light(IV)
Willow Creek
CA
Light(IV)

Shaking Animations

Simulated bowling pin shaking at each city’s intensity level. Videos appear as they finish rendering.

3 sites
Location Type MMI Description Animation
Cape Town Observed data Very Strong(VII) Download
Decay: Sacramento direction Ground Motion Decay Very Strong(VII) Download
Ferndale Simulated Strong(VI) Download

Seismic Station Observed MMI

MMI values are derived directly from observed ground motion measurements at seismic stations and are not spatially interpolated.

35 stations
Station MMI Description
Rio Dell (CE.89462) Severe(VIII)
Kneeland/Ashfield Ridge (BK.KNEE) Very Strong(VII)
CA:Eureka;Coll of the Redwoods (NP.1582) Very Strong(VII)
Fortuna (CE.89255) Very Strong(VII)
CA:Eureka;South Bay School (NP.1581) Very Strong(VII)
Cape Town (NC.KCT) Very Strong(VII)
Fortuna (CE.89486) Very Strong(VII)
CA:Loleta;FS (NP.1586) Very Strong(VII)
Bald Jesse, Humboldt County, CA (BK.BJES) Strong(VI)
CA:Ferndale;FS (NP.1023) Strong(VI)
Eureka (CE.89641) Strong(VI)
Burgh Ranch (NC.KBU) Strong(VI)
Cooskie Peak (NC.KCO) Strong(VI)
Pringle Ridge (NC.KPR) Strong(VI)
Horse Mountain (NC.KHMB) Strong(VI)
Cold Springs (NC.KCSB) Strong(VI)
Mount Pierce (NC.KMPB) Strong(VI)
Rainbow Ridge, Humboldt, CA (BK.RBOW) Moderate(V)
Paradise Ridge (BK.PRDS) Moderate(V)
CA:Ferndale;Bunker Hill NOAA (NP.1584B) Moderate(V)
Mail Ridge (NC.KMR) Moderate(V)
CA:Garberville;FS (NP.1591) Moderate(V)
Punta Gorda, Petrolia, CA (BK.PETL) Moderate(V)
Briceland Vineyard, Redway, CA (BK.BRIC) Moderate(V)
Tule Creek, Hayfork, CA (BK.HAYF) Moderate(V)
Chalk Rock #3 (NC.KCR) Moderate(V)
Hayfork Bally (NC.KHBB) Light(IV)
Trinidad Head (NC.KTD) Light(IV)
Baker Fire Station, Cottonwood, CA (BK.BAKR) Light(IV)
Hat Creek Radio Astronomy Obs., Cassel, CA, USA (BK.HATC) Light(IV)
Round Valley Indian Tribe, Mendocino County, CA (BK.RVIT) Light(IV)
Shelter Cove (CE.89688) Light(IV)
Grey Butte (Mt Shasta) (NC.LGY) Light(IV)
Burney Mountain (NC.LBU) Light(IV)
Willits (CE.79668) Light(IV)

Engineering Ground Motion Parameters

GMPE predictions provide an independent check on the ShakeMap interpolated intensities above. ShakeMap relies on seismic station recordings; in areas with sparse station coverage — or for large teleseismic events and earthquakes outside dense West Coast networks — ShakeMap MMI can be inaccurate. A significant difference between ShakeMap and GMPE estimates is a signal that the ShakeMap result should be treated as preliminary. Also includes site Vs30 values and raw ground motion parameters (PGA/PGV).

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Est. Vs30 Values

Estimated shear-wave velocity in the upper 30 m used in GMPE calculations. Ref. column shows the 760 m/s rock-site reference for comparison.

Location Ref. (760 m/s) Est. Vs30 (m/s)
Hydesville
CA
760 468
Rio Dell
CA
760 468
Fortuna
CA
760 418
Ferndale
CA
760 273
Humboldt Hill
CA
760 370
Bayview
CA
760 350
Cutten
CA
760 359
Myrtletown
CA
760 354
Pine Hills
CA
760 369
Bayside
CA
760 357
Eureka
CA
760 280
Arcata
CA
760 351
Blue Lake
CA
760 352
Redway
CA
760 352
McKinleyville
CA
760 373
Westhaven-Moonstone
CA
760 411
Hayfork
CA
760 351
Willow Creek
CA
760 733

MMI vs Distance — Default Vs30 (760 m/s)

All methods using the 760 m/s rock-site reference. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — default Vs30

MMI vs Distance — Est. Vs30

GMPEs use the Est. Vs30 values shown in the table above. ShakeMap values are independent of Vs30.

MMI vs distance — Est. Vs30

GMPE Residual — Observed − Predicted MMI

Signed residual at each seismic station. Positive values mean the GMPE underestimated shaking; negative values mean it overestimated. The dashed line at zero indicates perfect agreement.

GMPE residual plot

GMPE Predicted vs. Observed MMI at Seismic Stations

Each point is one seismic station. Points on the dashed 1:1 line indicate perfect agreement; above the line = GMPE underestimated shaking; below = overestimated.

GMPE predicted vs observed scatter

GMPE Performance — Station Observations

Statistics computed by comparing each GMPE's predicted MMI against ShakeMap observed MMI at seismic stations. Bias = mean(observed − predicted). Lower RMSE indicates better overall agreement with instrumental measurements.

GMPE Bias Sigma RMSE
ASK14 +1.34 0.82 1.57
BSSA14 +1.50 0.75 1.68
CY14 +1.28 0.80 1.50
CB14 +1.26 0.82 1.50
Bias > 0: GMPE underestimated shaking at stations. Bias < 0: GMPE overestimated shaking.

Peak Ground Motion — Seismic Station Observations

Recorded PGA and PGV at seismic stations, sorted by highest PGA. Top 25 stations shown. MMI (PGA) and MMI (PGV) are independent conversions via Worden et al. (2012) GMICE.

Station PGA (g) MMI (PGA) PGV (cm/s) MMI (PGV)
Rio Dell (CE.89462) 1.4387 Very Strong(VII) 63.425 Extreme(X)
Fortuna (CE.89255) 0.8010 Strong(VI) 34.755 Violent(IX)
CA:Eureka;Coll of the Redwoods (NP.1582) 0.4536 Strong(VI) 34.115 Violent(IX)
Fortuna (CE.89486) 0.3938 Strong(VI) 28.695 Severe(VIII)
CA:Loleta;FS (NP.1586) 0.3000 Moderate(V) 25.784 Severe(VIII)
Eureka (CE.89641) 0.2959 Moderate(V) 21.361 Severe(VIII)
CA:Eureka;South Bay School (NP.1581) 0.2748 Moderate(V) 32.524 Violent(IX)
CA:Ferndale;FS (NP.1023) 0.2561 Moderate(V) 22.278 Severe(VIII)
CA:Ferndale;Bunker Hill NOAA (NP.1584B) 0.2212 Moderate(V) 10.324 Very Strong(VII)
Paradise Ridge (BK.PRDS) 0.1806 Moderate(V) 9.706 Very Strong(VII)
Kneeland/Ashfield Ridge (BK.KNEE) 0.1636 Moderate(V) 39.187 Violent(IX)
Pringle Ridge (NC.KPR) 0.1402 Moderate(V) 15.552 Severe(VIII)
Burgh Ranch (NC.KBU) 0.1382 Moderate(V) 18.543 Severe(VIII)
Bald Jesse, Humboldt County, CA (BK.BJES) 0.1254 Moderate(V) 21.984 Severe(VIII)
Horse Mountain (NC.KHMB) 0.1253 Moderate(V) 15.092 Severe(VIII)
Cape Town (NC.KCT) 0.1239 Moderate(V) 30.028 Violent(IX)
Mount Pierce (NC.KMPB) 0.1237 Moderate(V) 11.679 Very Strong(VII)
Punta Gorda, Petrolia, CA (BK.PETL) 0.1236 Moderate(V) 8.521 Very Strong(VII)
Cooskie Peak (NC.KCO) 0.1201 Moderate(V) 15.272 Severe(VIII)
Tule Creek, Hayfork, CA (BK.HAYF) 0.1037 Moderate(V) 8.198 Very Strong(VII)
CA:Garberville;FS (NP.1591) 0.0950 Moderate(V) 9.032 Very Strong(VII)
Cold Springs (NC.KCSB) 0.0868 Moderate(V) 12.725 Very Strong(VII)
Rainbow Ridge, Humboldt, CA (BK.RBOW) 0.0795 Moderate(V) 10.511 Very Strong(VII)
Briceland Vineyard, Redway, CA (BK.BRIC) 0.0752 Moderate(V) 7.824 Very Strong(VII)
Mail Ridge (NC.KMR) 0.0721 Moderate(V) 9.469 Very Strong(VII)
Source: USGS ShakeMap station recordings (view ShakeMap). PGA in g (fraction of gravitational acceleration); PGV in cm/s. The observed MMI shown on the map uses ShakeMap's reported instrumental intensity where available, or max(MMI from PGA, MMI from PGV) otherwise.